Seats I will be watching!

So here is a list of seats I will be trying to watch closely. They should give an indication to the wider picture.

England

• Barking: Nick Griffin is the BNP candidate here, will he win?
• Brighton Pavillion: Green’s possible gain?
• Buckingham: Will the speaker hold on? (Counted on Friday though!)
• Dagenham and Rainham: Will the BNP gain a seat? Or will the Tories take Cruddas’ seat?
• Eastbourne: Can the Lib Dems take from the Tories also? 0.7% swing needed
• Finchley & Golders Green: This is a notional Tory seat, Labour need a 0.35% swing to hang on, will they?
• Luton South: This was Margaret Moran’s seat. Highly implicated in the expenses scandal. Has it damaged Labour beyond repair? Esther Ratzen is running here. Should be interesting!
• Morley and Outwood: Ed Balls seat. Will he hang on?
• Oxford East: One of the Lib Dem swings. All it takes is 0.2%, will they do it?
• Poplar and Limehouse: Will George Galloway remain an MP?
• Rochdale: The Bigotgate have an effect? Will the Lib Dems get in?
• Stockton South: Conservatives need a 6.5% swing to win here, its also just under the 7% they need. Should be a good indicator.
• Sunderland Central: Tory Target but needs a 10.5% swing
• Watford: One of those three way marginals! Let see what happens!
• Wyre Forest: Independent, Richard Taylor, held since 2001, Lib Dems are challenging here this time out. Can he hold on?

Scotland

• Dundee West: If things go really bad for Labour in Scotland, on an 7.29% swing, the SNP could gain this seat.
• Ochil and South Perthshire: SNP need a 0.74% swing from Labour.

Wales

• Arfon: Plaid target, this time from Labour. They need a 0.91% swing!
• Ceredigion: Plaid target from the Lib Dems. Need 0.31% swing
• Ynys Môn : Another Labour seat targeted by Plaid, they need 0.75% swing here.

Northern Ireland

• Belfast South: The DUP want to gain this from the SDLP. They need a nearly 2% swing though.

Other lists of ones to watch from the Independent, FT, Wikipedia and Ekklesia

What constituencies will you be watching?

Tags: Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrats, Marginal Seats, Politics, UK Election